doi: 10.1002/anie.202208429.
Online ahead of print.
Affiliations
Item in Clipboard
Angew Chem Int Ed Engl.
.
Abstract
Scientific research is an open-ended quest where success usually triumphs over failure. The tremendous success of science obscures the tendency for the non-linear discovery process to take longer and cost more than expected. Perseverance through detours and past setbacks requires a significant commitment that is fueled by scientific optimism; the same optimism required to overcome challenges simultaneously exacerbates the very human tendency to continue a line of inquiry when the likelihood of success is minimal, the so-called sunk-cost bias. This Viewpoint Article shows how the psychological phenomenon of sunk-cost bias influences medicinal, pharmaceutical, and organic chemists by comparing how the respective industrial and Academic practitioners approach sunk-cost bias; a series of interviews and illustrative quotes provide a rich trove of data to address this seldom discussed, yet potentially avoidable research cost. The concluding strategies recommended for mitigating against sunk-cost bias should benefit not only medicinal, pharmaceutical, and organic chemists but a wide array of chemistry practitioners.
Keywords:
decision-making; planning; sunk-cost bias; termination.
© 2022 Wiley-VCH GmbH.
References
-
-
R. M. Roberts, Serendipity: Accidental Discoveries in Science, 1st edition, Wiley, 1989.
-
-
-
M. Piattelli-Palmarini, Inevitable Illusions. How Mistakes of Reason Rule our Minds, Wiley, 1996.
-
-
-
G. Hon, J. Schickore, F. Steinle, Going Amiss in Experimental Research, Springer, 2009.
-
-
-
G. Holton, The Hastings Center Report 1975, 5, 39-47.
-
-
-
M. A. Sierra, M. C. de la Torre, F. P. Cossío, More Dead Ends and Detours. En Route to Successful Total Synthesis, Wiley-VCH, Weinheim, 2013.
-